Indonesia will import well under half of the pledged 150 million barrels of Russian crude by year end, likely below 60 million.

Shipping trackers show almost no tankers have moved since Jakarta struck the April deal, and refinery outages at Rosneft's Ryazan and Novokuybyshevsk plants are delaying loadings by weeks. This week's formalisation reflects political commitment rather than logistical readiness, so headline pledges will keep outpacing actual deliveries.