The number of new investor-state claims notified against Vietnam in 2027 won't fall below the 2024-2026 average, despite Hanoi's new dispute-resolution decree being framed as "prevention."
The new decree centralises how ministries handle foreign investor lawsuits and arbitration notices under a Deputy PM-led committee, but its prevention tool is mediation launched only once a claimant has already signalled intent to sue, not a fix for root causes like inconsistent provincial licensing or unresolved renewable-tariff arrears. Expect it to curb escalation to formal arbitration, not the underlying flow of disputes being triggered.
The new decree centralises how ministries handle foreign investor lawsuits and arbitration notices under a Deputy PM-led committee, but its prevention tool is mediation launched only once a claimant has already signalled intent to sue, not a fix for root causes like inconsistent provincial licensing or unresolved renewable-tariff arrears. Expect it to curb escalation to formal arbitration, not the underlying flow of disputes being triggered.